Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.237556 0.274341 0.314737 0.362363 0.416955 0.477554 0.549905
2024-10-27 0.177353 0.224435 0.280801 0.353153 0.443471 0.552411 0.693726
2024-11-03 0.144225 0.198417 0.268601 0.365911 0.497098 0.667584 0.905752
2024-11-10 0.119799 0.178106 0.259316 0.380208 0.555108 0.798415 1.162045
2024-11-17 0.097111 0.155266 0.241967 0.379870 0.592882 0.908445 1.410295
2024-11-24 0.079388 0.135877 0.225615 0.377428 0.626603 1.017811 1.676592
2024-12-01 0.066003 0.120417 0.212146 0.376508 0.661926 1.134773 1.974191
2024-12-08 0.055893 0.108278 0.201638 0.378156 0.701203 1.263754 2.312431
2024-12-15 0.048815 0.100040 0.196208 0.387379 0.754744 1.424735 2.731427
2024-12-22 0.041679 0.090152 0.185804 0.385267 0.786799 1.551944 3.109465
2024-12-29 0.037002 0.084196 0.181772 0.394556 0.841860 1.729689 3.610113
2025-01-05 0.031768 0.075946 0.171526 0.389195 0.866346 1.851404 4.019038
2025-01-12 0.028204 0.070771 0.167045 0.395788 0.918092 2.038362 4.596598
2025-01-19 0.023960 0.063100 0.155624 0.384908 0.930048 2.144308 5.020444
2025-01-26 0.021858 0.060217 0.154704 0.398185 0.999168 2.385350 5.781328
2025-02-02 0.020099 0.057834 0.154539 0.413287 1.075311 2.654158 6.648842
2025-02-09 0.017784 0.053448 0.148531 0.412637 1.112917 2.839205 7.348454
2025-02-16 0.015700 0.049232 0.142145 0.409800 1.144516 3.014743 8.053075
2025-02-23 0.013968 0.045648 0.136768 0.408675 1.180445 3.206645 8.829570
2025-03-02 0.012561 0.042724 0.132672 0.410371 1.224389 3.425944 9.712048
2025-03-09 0.011579 0.040919 0.131483 0.420294 1.293219 3.721594 10.845072
2025-03-16 0.010359 0.038043 0.126511 0.417967 1.326336 3.925551 11.758503
2025-03-23 0.009599 0.036560 0.125581 0.427992 1.398098 4.248397 13.057873